Vanguard Zero - Probabilities

Trigger Probabilities

Single trigger (on any given drive/damage check) = 1/3  = 33.33%
Double triggers (on any given Twin-Drive!!) = 10.526%
Getting a heal trigger on any given drive/damage check (assuming 4 are ran) = 10.256%
Odds of getting at least one heal trigger when you hit two consecutive triggers =  53.846%
Odds of getting a heal trigger when you Twin-Drive!! = 19.703%
Odds of getting a heal trigger when double crit at 3 with same/more damage = 28.384%
Odds of getting a heal trigger when crit at 4 with same/more damage = 19.703%
Odds of getting a heal trigger when hit at 5 with same/more damage = 10.256%
Odds of getting two heal triggers when crit at 5 damage = 0.81%
Odds of hitting a trigger on Twin-Drive!! if you always send non-triggers to the bottom with CEO Amaterasu = 71.55%

Getting a 9-of trigger on any given drive/damage check = 23.077%
Getting an 8-of trigger on any given drive/damage check = 20.513%
Getting a 7-of trigger on any given drive/damage check = 17.949%
Getting a 6-of trigger on any given drive/damage check = 15.385%
Getting a 5-of trigger on any given drive/damage check = 12.821%
Getting a 4-of trigger on any given drive/damage check = 10.256%
Getting a 3-of trigger on any given drive/damage check = 7.692%
Getting a 2-of trigger on any given drive/damage check = 5.128%
Getting a 1-of trigger on any given drive/damage check = 2.564%
Getting a 0-of trigger on any given drive/damage check = 0%


Getting one specific trigger on a Twin-Drive!! check with 9 in deck = 41.256%
Getting one specific trigger on a Twin-Drive!! check with 8 in deck = 37.247%
Getting one specific trigger on a Twin-Drive!! check with 7 in deck = 33.063%
Getting one specific trigger on a Twin-Drive!! check with 6 in deck = 28.745%
Getting one specific trigger on a Twin-Drive!! check with 5 in deck = 24.291%
Getting one specific trigger on a Twin-Drive!! check with 4 in deck = 19.703%
Getting one specific trigger on a Twin-Drive!! check with 3 in deck = 14.978%
Getting one specific trigger on a Twin-Drive!! check with 2 in deck = 10.121%
Getting one specific trigger on a Twin-Drive!! check with 1 in deck = 5.128%
Getting one specific trigger on a Twin-Drive!! check with 0 in deck = 0%


Getting two of the same trigger on a Twin-Drive!! check with 9 in deck = 4.858%
Getting two of the same trigger on a Twin-Drive!! check with 8 in deck = 3.779%
Getting two of the same trigger on a Twin-Drive!! check with 7 in deck = 2.834%
Getting two of the same trigger on a Twin-Drive!! check with 6 in deck = 2.024%
Getting two of the same trigger on a Twin-Drive!! check with 5 in deck = 1.35%
Getting two of the same trigger on a Twin-Drive!! check with 4 in deck = 0.81%
Getting two of the same trigger on a Twin-Drive!! check with 3 in deck = 0.405%
Getting two of the same trigger on a Twin-Drive!! check with 2 in deck = 0.135%
Getting two of the same trigger on a Twin-Drive!! check with 1 in deck = 0%
Getting two of the same trigger on a Twin-Drive!! check with 0 in deck = 0%

Transraizer Probabilities

Odds of getting a grade 1 off of Transraizer = 34.211%
Odds of getting a grade 2 off of Tranraizer = 31.579%
Odds of getting a unit off of Transraizer = 65.789%
Odds of getting a Transraizer off of a Transraizer = 7.895%
Odds of getting a unit off of Transraizer off of a Transraizer = 5.121%
Odds of Transraizer whiffing = 34.211%

I was going to make a section on riding probabilities, but the odds of misriding are so low and we live in a 9 draw meta, so I can't imagine that it's all that necessary.  Especially with ride-fixing cards in the game such as Gancelot and Aleph.  Thus, because the math was too hard for a percentage in the extreme upper-90's, I've simply opted to exclude them.